Model of Infectious Virus

Here I’ve generated a model of a free roaming infectious virus that is new to a community.

The lines going upward in an exponential pattern are the variants of the virus and when certain numbers in the community are reached. The Dark curve is the cumulative mortality from these variants.

This is based on semi-unrestricted growth and herd immunity building up, but doesn’t allow for immunity degeneration due to age. But on the scale of 5 years this will probably be a minor effect.

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